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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Belmont Greene Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51107611004 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 8,318 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 51107611004 sits in the Belmont Greene area of Belmont, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.6/10. It is home to 8,318 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 13% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units3,012
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$207,985

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Belmont Greene
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Belmont
Moderate
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#1,374 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Belmont and the region

Centroid at 39.0564, -77.5231 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belmont Greene scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Belmont
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,782 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belmont
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belmont
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belmont
3.0

How Belmont Greene compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Belmont Greene risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 611004Belmont: 3.83.8Belmontparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 8.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.1%Peak (2016)
  • 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belmont Greene

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 20.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation runs 4.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 30 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 8.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611004?

Census tract 51107611004 in the Belmont Greene neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611004?

Median gross rent is $2,782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611004?

3.4% of residents in tract 51107611004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,318.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 27th, minority 58th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611004 considered part of Belmont Greene?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611004 fall within Belmont Greene (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611004?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.11% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107611004 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107611004 compare to Belmont overall?

Tract 51107611004 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Belmont at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belmont; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Belmont

Top eight tracts in Belmont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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