Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Moorefield Village Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51107611030 ·
Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,701 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 51107611030 sits in the Moorefield Village area of Moorefield, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. Population here is 6,701. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 25%Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,258
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$204,597
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Moorefield Village
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Moorefield
Very High
Within county
70th percentile
#23 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Elevated
Within state
55th percentile
#977 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Moorefield and the region
Centroid at 38.9942, -77.5149 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moorefield Village scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Moorefield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,581 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Moorefield
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Moorefield
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Moorefield
2.3
How Moorefield Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
11%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.8%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
9.5%Food insecurity
5.7%SNAP enrollment
5.1%Transit barriers
6.4%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
19.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moorefield Village
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Disability prevalence runs 19.1% against 31.5% nationally.
roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Loudoun County average of 37.5%. Running cool, housing-court posture reads 2.3/10. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $204,597, annual rent is just 15%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611030
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611030?
Census tract 51107611030 in the Moorefield Village neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611030?
Median gross rent is $2,581/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611030?
3.8% of residents in tract 51107611030 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,701.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611030?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 40th, minority 83th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611030 considered part of Moorefield Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611030 fall within Moorefield Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107611030 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107611030 compare to Moorefield overall?
Tract 51107611030 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Moorefield at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Moorefield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Moorefield
Top eight tracts in Moorefield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.