Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Moorefield Village Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51107611030 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,701 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
How risky is Moorefield Village in Moorefield for landlords? Census tract 51107611030 scores 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.
30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,581 monthly, set against $204,597 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,258
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$204,597
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Moorefield and the region
Centroid at 38.9942, -77.5149 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moorefield Village scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Moorefield
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,581 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Moorefield
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Moorefield
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Moorefield
2.3
How Moorefield Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 19.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moorefield Village
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Moorefield, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611030
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611030?
Census tract 51107611030 in the Moorefield Village neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611030?
Median gross rent is $2,581/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611030?
3.8% of residents in tract 51107611030 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,701.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611030?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 40th, minority 83th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611030 considered part of Moorefield Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611030 fall within Moorefield Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107611030 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107611030 compare to Moorefield overall?
Tract 51107611030 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Moorefield at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Moorefield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Moorefield
Top eight tracts in Moorefield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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