Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Draper Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51155210402 · Pulaski County, VA · pop 2,555 · 13% of tract blocks fall in Draper
51155210402 is a census tract in Draper, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,555. Cost burden runs 5% here against 30.1% across Pulaski County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,004
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$84,038
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Draper and the region
Centroid at 36.9865, -80.7405 · click any tract to drill in
Why Draper scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Draper
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.9
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$903 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Draper
1.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Draper
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Draper
1.7
How Draper compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Draper
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.2/10.
It sits 1.0 points below the Pulaski County average of 4.0. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $84,038, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51155210402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51155210402?
Census tract 51155210402 in Draper scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51155210402?
Median gross rent is $903/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 5% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51155210402?
1.7% of residents in tract 51155210402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,555.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51155210402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 8th, minority 18th, housing 5th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51155210402 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51155210402 compare to Draper overall?
Tract 51155210402 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Draper at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Draper; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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