Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dublin
Tract 51155210700 · Pulaski County, VA · pop 3,617 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 51155210700 in the Highland Park neighborhood of Dublin ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,617 residents. That is riskier than about 51% of US census tracts.
35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $814 a month against an average household income of $62,276 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,653
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$62,276
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dublin and the region
Centroid at 37.1098, -80.6821 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dublin
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.9
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$814 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dublin
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dublin
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dublin
5.2
How Highland Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 88Total filings over 2 yrs
- 6.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2016)
- 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Highland Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 11.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dublin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pulaski County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51155210700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51155210700?
Census tract 51155210700 in the Highland Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51155210700?
Median gross rent is $814/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51155210700?
14.9% of residents in tract 51155210700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,617.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51155210700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 68th, minority 11th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 51155210700 considered part of Highland Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51155210700 fall within Highland Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51155210700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51155210700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.60% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51155210700 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51155210700 compare to Dublin overall?
Tract 51155210700 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Dublin at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dublin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dublin
Top eight tracts in Dublin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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