Christophers Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700030300 · Newport News city, VA · pop 6,024 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
51700030300 is a census tract in the Christophers Shores area of Newport News, VA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,024 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 36.9790, -76.4005 · click any tract to drill in
Why Christophers Shores scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Christophers Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 71%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,681Total filings over 5 yrs
- 28.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.7%Peak (2013)
- 288Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.9%Housing insecurity
- 19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.4%Food insecurity
- 35.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 19.9%Frequent mental distress
- 42.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Christophers Shores
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. SNAP participation runs 35.3% against 15.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $34,325 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.3 points above the Newport News City average of 4.1. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Newport News City average of 49.3%.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,118 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Newport News commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,681 filings here across 5 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 32.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 28.3% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51700030300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700030300?
What is the average rent in tract 51700030300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700030300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700030300?
Is tract 51700030300 considered part of Christophers Shores?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700030300?
What share of households in tract 51700030300 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51700030300 compare to Newport News overall?
Was tract 51700030300 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.