Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Christophers Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700030300 · Newport News city, VA · pop 6,024 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51700030300 covers the Christophers Shores neighborhood of Newport News, home to 6,024 residents. For landlords it grades 6.2/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,118 monthly, set against $34,325 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,229
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$34,325
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 36.9790, -76.4005 · click any tract to drill in
Why Christophers Shores scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Christophers Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 71%Grade C
- 4%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,681Total filings over 5 yrs
- 28.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.7%Peak (2013)
- 288Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.9%Housing insecurity
- 19.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.4%Food insecurity
- 35.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 19.9%Frequent mental distress
- 42.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Christophers Shores
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,681 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 28.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 32.7% of renter households in 2013.
In CDC survey modeling, about 25.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700030300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700030300?
Census tract 51700030300 in the Christophers Shores neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700030300?
Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700030300?
26.1% of residents in tract 51700030300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,024.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700030300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 91th, minority 95th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 51700030300 considered part of Christophers Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700030300 fall within Christophers Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700030300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,681 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700030300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.26% of renter households, peaking at 32.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700030300 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700030300 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700030300 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51700030300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Beechmont
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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