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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Christophers Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Tract 51700030300 · Newport News city, VA · pop 6,024 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

51700030300 is a census tract in the Christophers Shores area of Newport News, VA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,024 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 27% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,229
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$34,325

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Christophers Shores
Moderate
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#302 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 36.9790, -76.4005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Christophers Shores scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Christophers Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Christophers Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0303004.0Newport Newsparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,681Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 28.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.7%Peak (2013)
  • 288Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51700030300
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Christophers Shores

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. SNAP participation runs 35.3% against 15.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $34,325 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.3 points above the Newport News City average of 4.1. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Newport News City average of 49.3%.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $1,118 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Newport News commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,681 filings here across 5 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 32.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 28.3% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700030300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700030300?

Census tract 51700030300 in the Christophers Shores neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700030300?

Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700030300?

26.1% of residents in tract 51700030300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,024.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700030300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 91th, minority 95th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 51700030300 considered part of Christophers Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700030300 fall within Christophers Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700030300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,681 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700030300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.26% of renter households, peaking at 32.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51700030300 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51700030300 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700030300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51700030300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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