Tuckers Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Running hot, economic stress reads 9.6/10. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Housing insecurity runs 31.9% against 14.2% nationally. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Newport News City average of 4.1.

At $1,098 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Newport News commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,376 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 70.1% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 58.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.