Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Cedar Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700031500 · Newport News city, VA · pop 5,748 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51700031500 in the Cedar Grove area of Newport News, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,749
Renter share45.5%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$80,961
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.0421, -76.4883 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cedar Grove scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,308 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Cedar Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 10%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,306Total filings over 5 yrs
- 38.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 52.2%Peak (2013)
- 274Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cedar Grove
Against Newport News City at 49.3%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 2,306 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2013 at 52.2% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 39.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700031500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700031500?
Census tract 51700031500 in the Cedar Grove neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700031500?
Median gross rent is $1,308/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700031500?
8.2% of residents in tract 51700031500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,748.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700031500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 12th, minority 53th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 51700031500 considered part of Cedar Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700031500 fall within Cedar Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700031500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,306 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700031500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.98% of renter households, peaking at 52.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700031500 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700031500 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700031500 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51700031500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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