Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Summerlake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700031902 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,145 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 51700031902 in the Summerlake area of Newport News, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,145. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,939
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$56,133
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.0928, -76.5100 · click any tract to drill in
Why Summerlake scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,282 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Summerlake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,153Total filings over 5 yrs
- 42.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 51.2%Peak (2014)
- 385Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Summerlake
Cost burden runs 65% here against 49.3% across Newport News City. Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 2,153 evictions over 5 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 51.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 42.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
It tracks the Newport News City average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,282, close to the Newport News average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $56,133. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700031902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700031902?
Census tract 51700031902 in the Summerlake neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700031902?
Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700031902?
12.0% of residents in tract 51700031902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,145.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700031902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 67th, minority 62th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 51700031902 considered part of Summerlake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700031902 fall within Summerlake (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700031902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,153 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700031902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 42.09% of renter households, peaking at 51.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700031902 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700031902 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700031902 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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