Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Menchville Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700032002 · Newport News city, VA · pop 5,450 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 51700032002 in Menchville in Newport News ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,450 residents. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,687 a month against an average household income of $96,554 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,168
Renter share17.2%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$96,554
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.0921, -76.5241 · click any tract to drill in
Why Menchville scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,687 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Menchville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 173Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.7%Peak (2013)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Menchville
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 173 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 17.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.7% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032002?
Census tract 51700032002 in the Menchville neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032002?
Median gross rent is $1,687/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032002?
8.1% of residents in tract 51700032002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,450.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 5th, minority 54th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032002 considered part of Menchville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032002 fall within Menchville (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 173 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.67% of renter households, peaking at 24.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032002 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032002 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032002 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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