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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Eastwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Tract 51700032006 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,703 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51700032006 covers part of the Eastwood area of Newport News, VA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,703. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 32% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,932
Renter share83.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate33.3%
Median income$45,873

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Eastwood
Moderate
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 47 tracts In Newport News
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Very High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#302 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 37.1160, -76.5187 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastwood scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
33.3% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,259 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Eastwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastwood risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0320064.0Newport Newsparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,568Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 70.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 84.1%Peak (2012)
  • 715Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51700032006
Filings dropped 32% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastwood

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Cost burden runs 62% here against 49.3% across Newport News City. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $45,873, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 30.4% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Newport News City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Housing insecurity runs 24.1% against 14.2% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4,568 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700032006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032006?

Census tract 51700032006 in the Eastwood neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700032006?

Median gross rent is $1,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032006?

33.3% of residents in tract 51700032006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,703.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 74th, minority 85th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 51700032006 considered part of Eastwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032006 fall within Eastwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032006?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,568 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032006 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 70.83% of renter households, peaking at 84.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51700032006 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51700032006 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700032006 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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