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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Eastwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Tract 51700032006 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,703 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.5/10 for census tract 51700032006 reflects conditions in Eastwood in Newport News, Virginia. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,259 monthly, set against $45,873 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 84% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 32% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,932
Renter share83.6%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate33.3%
Median income$45,873

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Eastwood
Moderate
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 37.1160, -76.5187 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastwood scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
33.3% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,259 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Eastwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eastwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 032006Newport News: 4.34.3Newport Newsparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,568Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 70.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 84.1%Peak (2012)
  • 715Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517000320062012: 1,048 filings (84.11/100 renter HHs)2013: 1,012 filings (81.22/100 renter HHs)2014: 984 filings (78.97/100 renter HHs)2015: 809 filings (64.93/100 renter HHs)2016: 715 filings (44.91/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastwood

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700032006

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032006?

Census tract 51700032006 in the Eastwood neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700032006?

Median gross rent is $1,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032006?

33.3% of residents in tract 51700032006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,703.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 74th, minority 85th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 51700032006 considered part of Eastwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032006 fall within Eastwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032006?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,568 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032006 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 70.83% of renter households, peaking at 84.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51700032006 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51700032006 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700032006 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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