Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Windsor Great Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News

Tract 51700032132 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,680 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51700032132 belongs to Windsor Great Park in Newport News, Virginia. It is home to 4,680 residents and scores 5.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,443 a month while the average household earns $74,367 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 32% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,196
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$74,367

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Windsor Great Park
Moderate
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 47 tracts In Newport News
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 47 tracts In Newport News city
Low
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#577 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport News and the region

Centroid at 37.1473, -76.5214 · click any tract to drill in

Why Windsor Great Park scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,443 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5

How Windsor Great Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Windsor Great Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 032132Newport News: 4.34.3Newport Newsparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,044Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 16.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.5%Peak (2014)
  • 171Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517000321322012: 137 filings (10.17/100 renter HHs)2013: 236 filings (17.52/100 renter HHs)2014: 289 filings (21.46/100 renter HHs)2015: 211 filings (15.66/100 renter HHs)2016: 171 filings (16.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Windsor Great Park

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,044 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 16.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 21.5% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51700032132

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032132?

Census tract 51700032132 in the Windsor Great Park neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51700032132?

Median gross rent is $1,443/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032132?

11.7% of residents in tract 51700032132 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,680.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032132?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 90th, minority 65th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 51700032132 considered part of Windsor Great Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032132 fall within Windsor Great Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032132?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,044 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032132 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.16% of renter households, peaking at 21.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51700032132 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51700032132 compare to Newport News overall?

Tract 51700032132 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport News

Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related