Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Windsor Great Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700032132 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,680 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51700032132 is a census tract in the Windsor Great Park area of Newport News, VA. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,680 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units2,196
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$74,367
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1473, -76.5214 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Great Park scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,443 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Windsor Great Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,044Total filings over 5 yrs
- 16.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.5%Peak (2014)
- 171Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.5%Housing insecurity
- 10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.8%Food insecurity
- 15.9%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 11.2%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Windsor Great Park
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 1,044 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.9/10. Filings peaked in 2014 at 21.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 16.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. It tracks the Newport News City average of 4.1 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,443, close to the Newport News average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $74,367.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032132
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032132?
Census tract 51700032132 in the Windsor Great Park neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032132?
Median gross rent is $1,443/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032132?
11.7% of residents in tract 51700032132 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,680.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032132?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 90th, minority 65th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032132 considered part of Windsor Great Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032132 fall within Windsor Great Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032132?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,044 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032132 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.16% of renter households, peaking at 21.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032132 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032132 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032132 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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