Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Deer Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700032134 · Newport News city, VA · pop 2,917 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51700032134 covers the Deer Park area of Newport News in Virginia. Home to 2,917 residents, it scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,324 monthly, set against $61,305 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,435
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$61,305
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.0772, -76.4815 · click any tract to drill in
Why Deer Park scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,324 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Deer Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.5%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Deer Park
What moves this score most is housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032134
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032134?
Census tract 51700032134 in the Deer Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032134?
Median gross rent is $1,324/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032134?
16.8% of residents in tract 51700032134 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,917.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032134?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 83th, minority 65th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032134 considered part of Deer Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032134 fall within Deer Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51700032134 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51700032134 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032134 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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