Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Oakland Industrial Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700032223 · Newport News city, VA · pop 3,849 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
For landlords sizing up the Oakland Industrial Park neighborhood of Newport News, census tract 51700032223 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,205 a month while the average household earns $62,012 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,564
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$62,012
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1646, -76.5637 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakland Industrial Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,205 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Oakland Industrial Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,502Total filings over 5 yrs
- 41.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 52.4%Peak (2016)
- 356Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 103% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.9%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.6%Food insecurity
- 19.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakland Industrial Park
What moves this score most is housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,502 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 41.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 52.4% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032223
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032223?
Census tract 51700032223 in the Oakland Industrial Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032223?
Median gross rent is $1,205/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032223?
12.3% of residents in tract 51700032223 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,849.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032223?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 85th, minority 83th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032223 considered part of Oakland Industrial Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032223 fall within Oakland Industrial Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032223?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,502 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032223 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.50% of renter households, peaking at 52.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032223 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032223 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032223 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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