Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Oakland Industrial Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Newport News
Tract 51700032223 · Newport News city, VA · pop 3,849 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
51700032223 is a census tract in the Oakland Industrial Park area of Newport News, VA. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,849 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,564
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$62,012
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1646, -76.5637 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oakland Industrial Park scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,205 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Oakland Industrial Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,502Total filings over 5 yrs
- 41.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 52.4%Peak (2016)
- 356Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 103% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.9%Housing insecurity
- 13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.6%Food insecurity
- 19.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oakland Industrial Park
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
The filing record is not thin: 1,502 evictions over 5 years of observation. Cost burden runs 45% here against 49.3% across Newport News City. Average gross rent is $1,205, 10% below the Newport News average.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 52.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 41.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Newport News City average of 4.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $62,012. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032223
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032223?
Census tract 51700032223 in the Oakland Industrial Park neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032223?
Median gross rent is $1,205/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032223?
12.3% of residents in tract 51700032223 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,849.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032223?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 85th, minority 83th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032223 considered part of Oakland Industrial Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032223 fall within Oakland Industrial Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032223?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,502 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032223 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.50% of renter households, peaking at 52.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032223 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032223 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032223 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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