Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Courthouse Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700032225 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,277 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
51700032225 is a census tract in the Courthouse Green area of Newport News, VA. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,277. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,654
Renter share65.9%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$50,970
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1393, -76.5378 · click any tract to drill in
Why Courthouse Green scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,222 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Courthouse Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,118Total filings over 5 yrs
- 45.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 45.1%Peak (2016)
- 482Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.4%Housing insecurity
- 19.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.8%Food insecurity
- 33.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.8%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 40.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Courthouse Green
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Housing insecurity runs 25.4% against 14.2% nationally.
55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Newport News City average of 49.3%. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 0.9 points above the Newport News City average of 4.1. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,118 filings here across 5 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 45.1% of renter households were served.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032225
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032225?
Census tract 51700032225 in the Courthouse Green neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032225?
Median gross rent is $1,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032225?
19.3% of residents in tract 51700032225 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,277.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032225?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 98th, minority 85th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032225 considered part of Courthouse Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032225 fall within Courthouse Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032225?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,118 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032225 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.12% of renter households, peaking at 45.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032225 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032225 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032225 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Village Green
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
North End
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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