Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Courthouse Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport News
Tract 51700032225 · Newport News city, VA · pop 4,277 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The Courthouse Green area of Newport News anchors census tract 51700032225, which lands at 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,222 a month against an average household income of $50,970 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,654
Renter share65.9%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$50,970
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newport News and the region
Centroid at 37.1393, -76.5378 · click any tract to drill in
Why Courthouse Green scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newport News
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,222 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport News
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport News
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport News
4.5
How Courthouse Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,118Total filings over 5 yrs
- 45.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 45.1%Peak (2016)
- 482Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.4%Housing insecurity
- 19.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.8%Food insecurity
- 33.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.8%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 40.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Courthouse Green
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport News eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Newport News City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 25.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,118 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 45.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 45.1% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51700032225
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51700032225?
Census tract 51700032225 in the Courthouse Green neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51700032225?
Median gross rent is $1,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51700032225?
19.3% of residents in tract 51700032225 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,277.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51700032225?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 98th, minority 85th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 51700032225 considered part of Courthouse Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51700032225 fall within Courthouse Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51700032225?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,118 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51700032225 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.12% of renter households, peaking at 45.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51700032225 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51700032225 compare to Newport News overall?
Tract 51700032225 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Newport News at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport News eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newport News
Top eight tracts in Newport News ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ivy Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tuckers Creek
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Eastwood
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Village Green
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Christophers Shores
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Newsome
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North End
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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