Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Saratoga Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Suffolk
Tract 51800065402 · Suffolk city, VA · pop 1,513 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51800065402 covers part of the Saratoga Place area of Suffolk, VA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,513. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units551
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate31.2%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Suffolk and the region
Centroid at 36.7207, -76.5954 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saratoga Place scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Suffolk
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,353 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Suffolk
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Suffolk
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Suffolk
3.5
How Saratoga Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.8%Housing insecurity
- 19.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.7%Food insecurity
- 33.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.3%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saratoga Place
SNAP participation runs 33.5% against 15.2% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Food insecurity runs 31.7% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.8/10. Against the Suffolk City average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10. Against Suffolk City at 46.8%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,353, 13% below the Suffolk average.
Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51800065402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51800065402?
Census tract 51800065402 in the Saratoga Place neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51800065402?
Median gross rent is $1,353/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51800065402?
31.2% of residents in tract 51800065402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,513.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51800065402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 83th, minority 96th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 51800065402 considered part of Saratoga Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51800065402 fall within Saratoga Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51800065402 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51800065402 compare to Suffolk overall?
Tract 51800065402 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Suffolk at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Suffolk
Top eight tracts in Suffolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
North Jericho
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Philadelphia
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pleasant Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lloyd Place
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51800075601
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pughsville
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Nansemond Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Wynnewood
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
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