Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Lawton Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Seattle

Tract 53033004703 · King County, WA · pop 4,074 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Eviction risk in the Lawton Park area of Seattle centers on tract 53033004703, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,074 residents. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 32% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,062 monthly, set against $160,833 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 51% Owners 25%

Tract context

Occupied units2,082

Renter share74.8%

SVI overall0.06

Poverty rate2.0%

Median income$160,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6643, -122.3721 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lawton Park scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Seattle

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

Washington legislature & governorship

6.0

Economic stress

2.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,062 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Seattle

8.5

How Lawton Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

1%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
24%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lawton Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lawton Park

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seattle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the King County average of 5.5 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033004703

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033004703?

Census tract 53033004703 in the Lawton Park neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 53033004703?

Median gross rent is $2,062/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033004703?

2.0% of residents in tract 53033004703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,074.

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033004703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 1th, minority 39th, housing 67th.

Is tract 53033004703 considered part of Lawton Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033004703 fall within Lawton Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 53033004703 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033004703 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 53033004703 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.