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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Lawton Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seattle

Tract 53033005801 · King County, WA · pop 6,104 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 7.2/10, tract 53033005801 in the Lawton Park area of Seattle, WA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,104 residents. Against King County at 44.1%, 21% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 51% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units3,269
Renter share65.1%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$137,104

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Lawton Park
Elevated
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#123 of 177 tracts In Seattle
Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#189 of 494 tracts In King County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#418 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6549, -122.3850 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lawton Park scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,368 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5

How Lawton Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lawton Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 005801Seattle: 7.97.9Seattleparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 111Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 0.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak (2004)
  • 11Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530330058012004: 13 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (0.66/100 renter HHs)2006: 12 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2007: 12 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2008: 7 filings (0.42/100 renter HHs)2009: 8 filings (0.48/100 renter HHs)2010: 13 filings (0.88/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (0.70/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lawton Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lawton Park

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.0% against 31.5% nationally.

65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. At $2,368 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Seattle commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 111 filings here across 10 tracked years.

9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The worst year on record was 2004, when 0.9% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Seattle. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033005801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033005801?

Census tract 53033005801 in the Lawton Park neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53033005801?

Median gross rent is $2,368/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033005801?

6.5% of residents in tract 53033005801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,104.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033005801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 3th, minority 45th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 53033005801 considered part of Lawton Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033005801 fall within Lawton Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033005801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 111 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033005801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.70% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53033005801 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033005801 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 53033005801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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