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Census Tract · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Burlington Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 53057951800 · Skagit County, WA · pop 5,111 · 80% of tract blocks fall in Burlington

With a score of 7.7/10, tract 53057951800 in Burlington, WA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Skagit County average of 44.2%.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 23% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,206
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$66,607

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Burlington
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 41 tracts In Skagit County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#225 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
High
National
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#9,433 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burlington and the region

Centroid at 48.4663, -122.3422 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burlington scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burlington
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,598 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
6.7

How Burlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burlington risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 951800Burlington: 6.66.6Burlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 33Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2015)
  • 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burlington

33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Against the Skagit County average of 5.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 33 filings here across 2 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 1.4% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $1,598, 8% below the Burlington average.

In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 53057951800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53057951800?

Census tract 53057951800 in Burlington scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53057951800?

Median gross rent is $1,598/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53057951800?

16.8% of residents in tract 53057951800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,111.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53057951800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 94th, minority 62th, housing 96th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53057951800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 53057951800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.27% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 53057951800 compare to Burlington overall?

Tract 53057951800 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Burlington at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burlington

Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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