Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
The Vineyards Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mill Creek
Tract 53061041704 · Snohomish County, WA · pop 5,778 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.9/10 for census tract 53061041704 reflects conditions in The Vineyards in Mill Creek, Washington. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,230 a month against an average household income of $91,875 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,639
Renter share64.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$91,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mill Creek and the region
Centroid at 47.8674, -122.2252 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Vineyards scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mill Creek
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$2,230 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mill Creek
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mill Creek
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mill Creek
5.5
How The Vineyards compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 183Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2008)
- 37Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Vineyards
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mill Creek, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Snohomish County average of 5.2 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 183 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.4% of renter households in 2008.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 53061041704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53061041704?
Census tract 53061041704 in the The Vineyards neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53061041704?
Median gross rent is $2,230/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53061041704?
19.2% of residents in tract 53061041704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,778.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53061041704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 44th, minority 62th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 53061041704 considered part of The Vineyards?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53061041704 fall within The Vineyards (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53061041704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 183 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 53061041704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.14% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 53061041704 compare to Mill Creek overall?
Tract 53061041704 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Mill Creek at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mill Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mill Creek
Top eight tracts in Mill Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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