Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Douglas Eviction Risk: Moderate , Blaine
Tract 53073010409 ·
Whatcom County, WA · pop 3,949 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 53073010409 in the Douglas area of Blaine, WA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,949 residents. Against Whatcom County at 49.6%, 23% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 33%Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,502
Renter share42.9%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$81,076
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Douglas
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Blaine
Moderate
Within county
55th percentile
#25 of 54 tracts In Whatcom County
Moderate
Within state
50th percentile
#879 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Blaine and the region
Centroid at 48.9891, -122.7489 · click any tract to drill in
Why Douglas scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blaine
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,284 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blaine
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blaine
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blaine
5.3
How Douglas compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
73%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
50%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Douglas
Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.8/10. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,284, 11% below the Blaine average.
That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Whatcom County average of 5.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $81,076.
43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073010409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010409?
Census tract 53073010409 in the Douglas neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073010409?
Median gross rent is $1,284/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010409?
13.2% of residents in tract 53073010409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,949.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 92th, minority 50th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 53073010409 considered part of Douglas?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073010409 fall within Douglas (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53073010409 compare to Blaine overall?
Tract 53073010409 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Blaine at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blaine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Blaine
Top eight tracts in Blaine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.