Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Douglas Eviction Risk: Moderate , Blaine
Tract 53073010409 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 3,949 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
The Douglas area of Blaine anchors census tract 53073010409, which lands at 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 17% of US census tracts.
About 23% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,284 monthly, set against $81,076 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,502
Renter share42.9%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$81,076
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Blaine and the region
Centroid at 48.9891, -122.7489 · click any tract to drill in
Why Douglas scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Blaine
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,284 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blaine
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blaine
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blaine
5.3
How Douglas compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Douglas
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Blaine, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Whatcom County average of 5.2 and below the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 53073010409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073010409?
Census tract 53073010409 in the Douglas neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53073010409?
Median gross rent is $1,284/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53073010409?
13.2% of residents in tract 53073010409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,949.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53073010409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 92th, minority 50th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 53073010409 considered part of Douglas?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073010409 fall within Douglas (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53073010409 compare to Blaine overall?
Tract 53073010409 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Blaine at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blaine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Blaine
Top eight tracts in Blaine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related