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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

South Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Point Roberts

Tract 53073011000 · Whatcom County, WA · pop 1,249 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 53073011000 sits in the South Beach area of Point Roberts, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. It is home to 1,249 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 10% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units677
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$80,197

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In South Beach
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Point Roberts
Moderate
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#43 of 54 tracts In Whatcom County
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,456 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Point Roberts and the region

Centroid at 48.9808, -123.0297 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Beach scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Point Roberts
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,055 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Point Roberts
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Point Roberts
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Point Roberts
4.6

How South Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0110004.0Point Robertsparent city5.9Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 2.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2016)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2015 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 53073011000
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Beach

The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. It sits 1.8 points below the Whatcom County average of 5.9.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions over 3 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $80,197, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 53073011000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53073011000?

Census tract 53073011000 in the South Beach neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53073011000?

Median gross rent is $1,055/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53073011000?

12.2% of residents in tract 53073011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,249.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53073011000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 55th, minority 24th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 53073011000 considered part of South Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53073011000 fall within South Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53073011000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 53073011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.21% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53073011000 compare to Point Roberts overall?

Tract 53073011000 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Point Roberts at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Point Roberts; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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