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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

First Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Morgantown

Tract 54061011000 · Monongalia County, WV · pop 4,030 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

54061011000 is a census tract in the First Ward area of Morgantown, WV. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,030 residents. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 25% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,959
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$48,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In First Ward
Very High
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 16 tracts In Morgantown
Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 28 tracts In Monongalia County
Moderate
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 546 tracts In West Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Morgantown and the region

Centroid at 39.5991, -79.9587 · click any tract to drill in

Why First Ward scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Morgantown
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
West Virginia legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$806 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morgantown
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morgantown
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morgantown
3.0

How First Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
First Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0110004.0Morgantownparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within First Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in First Ward

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. At $806 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Morgantown commands. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10. Statewide the WV average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Monongalia County average of 4.2 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 54061011000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 54061011000?

Census tract 54061011000 in the First Ward neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 54061011000?

Median gross rent is $806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 54061011000?

20.0% of residents in tract 54061011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,030.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 54061011000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 12th, minority 34th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 54061011000 considered part of First Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 54061011000 fall within First Ward (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 54061011000 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 54061011000 compare to Morgantown overall?

Tract 54061011000 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Morgantown at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morgantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Morgantown

Top eight tracts in Morgantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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