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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

First Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Morgantown

Tract 54061011000 · Monongalia County, WV · pop 4,030 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 54061011000 (the First Ward area of Morgantown, West Virginia) comes in at 4.6/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #63,766 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $806 a month against an average household income of $48,906 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 25% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,959
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$48,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In First Ward
Very High
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 16 tracts In Morgantown
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 28 tracts In Monongalia County
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#131 of 546 tracts In West Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Morgantown and the region

Centroid at 39.5991, -79.9587 · click any tract to drill in

Why First Ward scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Morgantown
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
West Virginia legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$806 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morgantown
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morgantown
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morgantown
3.0

How First Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
First Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 011000Morgantown: 3.33.3Morgantownparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within First Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in First Ward

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Morgantown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Monongalia County average of 4.7 and in line with the West Virginia statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 54061011000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 54061011000?

Census tract 54061011000 in the First Ward neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 54061011000?

Median gross rent is $806/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 54061011000?

20.0% of residents in tract 54061011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,030.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 54061011000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 12th, minority 34th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 54061011000 considered part of First Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 54061011000 fall within First Ward (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 54061011000 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 54061011000 compare to Morgantown overall?

Tract 54061011000 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Morgantown at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morgantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Morgantown

Top eight tracts in Morgantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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