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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Swan Creek of Nine Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Fitchburg

Tract 55025001405 · Dane County, WI · pop 4,025 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

How risky is the Swan Creek of Nine Springs area of Fitchburg for landlords? Census tract 55025001405 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 51% of US census tracts.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,354 a month while the average household earns $79,214 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 30% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,300
Renter share59.7%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$79,214

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Swan Creek of Nine Springs
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Fitchburg
Very High
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 125 tracts In Dane County
Moderate
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#833 of 1,528 tracts In Wisconsin
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fitchburg and the region

Centroid at 43.0202, -89.4011 · click any tract to drill in

Why Swan Creek of Nine Springs scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fitchburg
7.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,354 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fitchburg
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fitchburg
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fitchburg
5.2

How Swan Creek of Nine Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Swan Creek of Nine Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 001405Fitchburg: 3.03.0Fitchburgparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Swan Creek of Nine Springs

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fitchburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dane County average of 4.8 and above the Wisconsin statewide average of 4.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 55025001405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55025001405?

Census tract 55025001405 in the Swan Creek of Nine Springs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 55025001405?

Median gross rent is $1,354/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 55025001405?

11.6% of residents in tract 55025001405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,025.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 55025001405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 4th, minority 52th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 55025001405 considered part of Swan Creek of Nine Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55025001405 fall within Swan Creek of Nine Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 55025001405 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 55025001405 compare to Fitchburg overall?

Tract 55025001405 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Fitchburg at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fitchburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fitchburg

Top eight tracts in Fitchburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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