Casper Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.3/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

At $802 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Casper commands. Against the Natrona County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $61,833, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the WY average is 3.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.