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Census Tract · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Bartlett Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 47157020651 · Shelby County, TN · pop 7,088 · 56% of tract blocks fall in Bartlett

Tract 47157020651 covers Bartlett in Shelby County in Tennessee. Home to 7,088 residents, it scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 41% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,436 a month against an average household income of $70,642 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 19% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,366
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$70,642

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 14 tracts In Bartlett
Very High
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#179 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#1,199 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Low
National
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#54,934 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bartlett and the region

Centroid at 35.2127, -89.8787 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bartlett scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bartlett
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,436 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bartlett
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bartlett
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bartlett
4.6

How Bartlett compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bartlett risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 020651Bartlett: 2.32.3Bartlettparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 420Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.88×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 14 filings (1.93× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-04-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.12× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2020-07-01: 2 filings (0.30× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (0.28× baseline)2021-02-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-07-01: 5 filings (0.74× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.41× baseline)2022-02-01: 10 filings (1.90× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (0.65× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (0.59× baseline)2022-08-01: 9 filings (1.29× baseline)2022-09-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 7 filings (1.12× baseline)2022-11-01: 9 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (0.97× baseline)2023-02-01: 7 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-03-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (0.35× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (0.90× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (0.59× baseline)2023-08-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-09-01: 11 filings (1.83× baseline)2023-10-01: 15 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-11-01: 7 filings (1.04× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2024-01-01: 9 filings (1.24× baseline)2024-02-01: 14 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-03-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-04-01: 11 filings (2.44× baseline)2024-05-01: 13 filings (1.53× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (1.03× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (1.19× baseline)2024-08-01: 10 filings (1.43× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-10-01: 10 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-11-01: 8 filings (1.19× baseline)2024-12-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-01-01: 9 filings (1.24× baseline)2025-02-01: 9 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-04-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2025-05-01: 7 filings (0.82× baseline)2025-06-01: 6 filings (0.77× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (1.19× baseline)2025-08-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 6 filings (0.96× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-12-01: 8 filings (1.14× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bartlett

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bartlett eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.88x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157020651

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157020651?

Census tract 47157020651 in Bartlett scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157020651?

Median gross rent is $1,436/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157020651?

13.4% of residents in tract 47157020651 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,088.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157020651?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 85th, minority 67th, housing 16th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47157020651 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.88× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47157020651 compare to Bartlett overall?

Tract 47157020651 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Bartlett at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bartlett eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bartlett

Top eight tracts in Bartlett ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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