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Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Bartlett Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 47157020622 · Shelby County, TN · pop 4,865 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Bartlett

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 47157020622 (Bartlett in Shelby County, Tennessee) comes in at 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,199 a month against an average household income of $64,583 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 12% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,568
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$64,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 14 tracts In Bartlett
High
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#196 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#1,341 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Low
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,757 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bartlett and the region

Centroid at 35.1949, -89.8565 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bartlett scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bartlett
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bartlett
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bartlett
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bartlett
4.6

How Bartlett compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bartlett risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 020622Bartlett: 2.32.3Bartlettparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 438Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 8 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-02-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2020-03-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2020-04-01: 5 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 11 filings (0.94× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2020-11-01: 4 filings (0.48× baseline)2020-12-01: 9 filings (1.89× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-03-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2021-04-01: 7 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-05-01: 7 filings (0.97× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-07-01: 6 filings (0.77× baseline)2021-08-01: 7 filings (0.88× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (0.61× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2022-01-01: 8 filings (0.63× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-03-01: 8 filings (1.39× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (0.34× baseline)2022-05-01: 8 filings (1.10× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (0.65× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (0.63× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (0.34× baseline)2022-10-01: 7 filings (1.47× baseline)2022-11-01: 12 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-12-01: 7 filings (1.47× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.16× baseline)2023-02-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2023-04-01: 12 filings (1.37× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (0.83× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-07-01: 13 filings (1.68× baseline)2023-08-01: 7 filings (0.88× baseline)2023-09-01: 14 filings (1.19× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (1.05× baseline)2023-11-01: 9 filings (1.09× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-01-01: 7 filings (0.55× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2024-03-01: 9 filings (1.57× baseline)2024-04-01: 12 filings (1.37× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.41× baseline)2024-06-01: 7 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (0.26× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-09-01: 13 filings (1.11× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2024-11-01: 14 filings (1.70× baseline)2024-12-01: 9 filings (1.89× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.24× baseline)2025-02-01: 12 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (1.04× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2025-06-01: 9 filings (1.29× baseline)2025-07-01: 7 filings (0.90× baseline)2025-08-01: 14 filings (1.75× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.09× baseline)2025-10-01: 10 filings (2.11× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 9 filings (1.89× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bartlett

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bartlett eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.81x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157020622

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157020622?

Census tract 47157020622 in Bartlett scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157020622?

Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157020622?

7.3% of residents in tract 47157020622 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,865.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157020622?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 80th, minority 35th, housing 68th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47157020622 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47157020622 compare to Bartlett overall?

Tract 47157020622 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bartlett at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bartlett eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bartlett

Top eight tracts in Bartlett ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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