Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Germantown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 47157021351 · Shelby County, TN · pop 4,637
Germantown in Shelby County anchors census tract 47157021351, which lands at 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 28% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
39% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,770 a month against an average household income of $97,071 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,182
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$97,071
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
National
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 35.1006, -89.7970 · click any tract to drill in
Why Germantown scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,770 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
3.9
How Germantown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 147Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Germantown
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Germantown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.62x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157021351
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157021351?
Census tract 47157021351 in Germantown scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157021351?
Median gross rent is $1,770/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157021351?
3.2% of residents in tract 47157021351 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,637.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157021351?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 81th, minority 22th, housing 31th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 47157021351 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 47157021351 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 47157021351 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TN
47157021430
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TN
47157021420
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TN
47157021341
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TN
47157021410
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TN
47157021356
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TN
47157021352
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TN
47157021355
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TN
47157021357
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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