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Germantown, Tennessee eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,607 of 1,865 nationally

Germantown, TN Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Shelby County · Population 40,673

In 2026
Risk score
2.3
VERY LOW

64th percentile, Tennessee.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.2 Average2.7 Now2.3
3.4 2.2 1976 · score 3.3 1977 · score 3.3 1978 · score 3.3 1979 · score 3.4 1980 · score 3.4 1981 · score 3.4 1982 · score 3.4 1983 · score 3.3 1984 · score 3.2 1985 · score 3.1 1986 · score 3.0 1987 · score 2.8 1988 · score 2.7 1989 · score 2.3 1990 · score 2.3 1991 · score 2.3 1992 · score 2.9 1993 · score 2.9 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 2.9 1997 · score 2.9 1998 · score 2.9 1999 · score 2.9 2000 · score 2.8 2001 · score 2.8 2002 · score 2.8 2003 · score 2.7 2004 · score 2.6 2005 · score 2.6 2006 · score 2.5 2007 · score 2.4 2008 · score 2.5 2009 · score 2.7 2010 · score 2.7 2011 · score 2.7 2012 · score 2.5 2013 · score 2.4 2014 · score 2.4 2015 · score 2.3 2016 · score 2.3 2017 · score 2.2 2018 · score 2.2 2019 · score 2.2 2020 · score 3.1 2021 · score 3.3 2022 · score 2.4 2023 · score 2.4 2024 · score 2.4 2025 · score 2.3 2026 · score 2.3

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.9 Regional 6.9 State 1.9 Economic 3.6 Supply 6.2 Rent Control 5.4 Eviction 1.9 Tenant 3.5 Housing 3.9 2.3 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +25.4% (2024)
    6.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.9
  3. State political climate
    Tennessee legislature & governorship
    1.9
  4. Economic stress
    2.9% poverty · 3.1% unemp.
    3.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,816 average · 13.4% renters
    6.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    32.0% of income on rent
    5.4
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    33 days filing → judgment
    1.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    13.4% renters
    3.5
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Germantown compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Shelby County
Moderate
#4 of 7 cities
Rank in county, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 cities in Shelby County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Tennessee
Elevated
#196 of 501 cities
Rank in state, 61st percentileLowHigh
#196 of 501 cities in Tennessee for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Germantown risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Germantown: 2.32.3GermantownThis cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg in countyState: 2.42.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.3
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2.3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend-1.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 33d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,816/mo. A contested eviction takes 33 days and costs $985–$3,303 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 13.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 40,673 residents, 13.4% rent. 32% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 2.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.9 and 6.9 (Dem margin +25.4% (2024)). State climate at 1.9, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.9
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.9/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.9, housing court bias 3.9, rent-control risk 5.4. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.6. Supply constraint: 6.2. The numbers behind those: 2.9% poverty, 3.1% unemployment, 32% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Germantown sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Bartlett, TN · 33d · ~$2.0k all-in ($61/day) · score 2.3 Bartlett Collierville, TN · 32d · ~$1.9k all-in ($60/day) · score 2.2 Collierville Nashville, TN · 37d · ~$2.1k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.5 Nashville Knoxville, TN · 35d · ~$2.0k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.3 Knoxville Chattanooga, TN · 31d · ~$2.1k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.5 Chattanooga Clarksville, TN · 35d · ~$2.1k all-in ($59/day) · score 2.4 Clarksville Murfreesboro, TN · 35d · ~$2.2k all-in ($63/day) · score 2.4 Murfreesboro Franklin, TN · 35d · ~$2.1k all-in ($61/day) · score 1.9 Franklin Johnson City, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($63/day) · score 2.3 Johnson City Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Germantown
Germantown · 33d · ~$2.1k all-in ($65/day) · score 2.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Germantown, TN

Landlording in Germantown, Tennessee, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.3/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Germantown is a city of 40,673 residents where 13.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 32.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,816/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Germantown eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Germantown closes 33 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Germantown's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Germantown runs $985 to $3,303 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 33 days of typical timeline and $1,816/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.5/10 in Germantown, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Tennessee, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Germantown: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Tennessee's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,303 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Germantown

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 33 days and roughly $3,303 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $1,321 to $1,981 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under T.C.A. 66-28 URLTA.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-04-01.

In the most recent month, 1,579 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.77× the historical baseline (below baseline). Past 12 months: 25,698 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 146,558.

  • 1,579Past month
  • 25,698Past 12 months
  • 0.77×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 27.1%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: 14 days notice (for nonpayment of rent cases, though in many cases less). Filing fee: $102.5 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-04-01 – 2026-03-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-04-01: 2,073 filings (0.94× hist)2023-05-01: 2,511 filings (0.98× hist)2023-06-01: 2,728 filings (1.05× hist)2023-07-01: 2,499 filings (0.91× hist)2023-08-01: 2,801 filings (1.02× hist)2023-09-01: 2,757 filings (0.99× hist)2023-10-01: 3,040 filings (1.12× hist)2023-11-01: 2,486 filings (1.06× hist)2023-12-01: 2,119 filings (1.09× hist)2024-01-01: 2,472 filings (0.95× hist)2024-02-01: 2,632 filings (1.00× hist)2024-03-01: 1,836 filings (0.89× hist)2024-04-01: 2,428 filings (1.10× hist)2024-05-01: 2,637 filings (1.02× hist)2024-06-01: 2,481 filings (0.95× hist)2024-07-01: 2,967 filings (1.09× hist)2024-08-01: 2,674 filings (0.98× hist)2024-09-01: 2,791 filings (1.01× hist)2024-10-01: 2,547 filings (0.94× hist)2024-11-01: 2,224 filings (0.94× hist)2024-12-01: 1,850 filings (0.95× hist)2025-01-01: 2,598 filings (1.00× hist)2025-02-01: 2,285 filings (0.88× hist)2025-03-01: 1,794 filings (0.87× hist)2025-04-01: 1,855 filings (0.84× hist)2025-05-01: 2,269 filings (0.88× hist)2025-06-01: 2,438 filings (0.94× hist)2025-07-01: 2,991 filings (1.09× hist)2025-08-01: 2,460 filings (0.90× hist)2025-09-01: 2,400 filings (0.87× hist)2025-10-01: 2,457 filings (0.91× hist)2025-11-01: 1,810 filings (0.77× hist)2025-12-01: 2,301 filings (1.18× hist)2026-01-01: 1,315 filings (0.51× hist)2026-02-01: 1,823 filings (0.70× hist)2026-03-01: 1,579 filings (0.77× hist)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Germantown without a reason?

For month-to-month tenants, yes, with proper 30-day notice. Tennessee does not have statewide just-cause eviction requirements. However, you cannot evict for discriminatory reasons or in retaliation for a tenant exercising their legal rights.

Q2

How long does it really take to evict someone in Germantown?

The typical timeline is 33 days from the initial notice to the tenant vacating. This can be shorter if the tenant moves out quickly or longer if they contest the eviction or appeal the court's decision.

Q3

Is there a limit on how much I can charge for a security deposit?

No, Tennessee law does not set a statutory cap on security deposits. However, charging an excessive amount can make your property less attractive to prospective tenants.

Q4

What happens if a tenant files for bankruptcy during an eviction?

A bankruptcy filing typically puts an automatic stay on all collection and eviction actions. You would need to consult an attorney to file a motion with the bankruptcy court to lift the stay before proceeding with the eviction.

Q5

Do I have to accept partial rent payments?

No, you are not obligated to accept partial payments. If you do, ensure you have a written agreement stating that accepting the partial payment does not waive your right to pursue the full amount or continue with eviction proceedings if the remaining balance isn't paid.

Q6

Can I evict a tenant for having pets if my lease says no pets?

Yes, if your lease clearly prohibits pets and the tenant violates this clause, it's typically considered a material breach of the lease. You would then issue a 14-day notice to cure the breach (remove the pet) or vacate.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.3/10 places Germantown in the 64th percentile of Tennessee cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.