Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Grayson Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Katy
Tract 48157673108 ·
Fort Bend, TX · pop 17,497 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 48157673108 sits in the Grayson Lakes area of Katy, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 17,497 residents. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 6%Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units5,180
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$181,512
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Grayson Lakes
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#6 of 6 tracts In Katy
Very Low
Within county
22th percentile
#104 of 133 tracts In Fort Bend
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Katy and the region
Centroid at 29.7579, -95.8339 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grayson Lakes scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Katy
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,920 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Katy
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Katy
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Katy
6.1
How Grayson Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
20%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
75%Racial/ethnic minority
31%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grayson Lakes
Against Fort Bend County at 42.8%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 25.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Disability prevalence runs 17.1% against 31.5% nationally.
At $1,920 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Katy commands. It sits 0.8 points below the Fort Bend County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $181,512, annual rent is just 13%. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48157673108
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48157673108?
Census tract 48157673108 in the Grayson Lakes neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48157673108?
Median gross rent is $1,920/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48157673108?
1.7% of residents in tract 48157673108 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 17,497.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48157673108?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 24th, minority 75th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 48157673108 considered part of Grayson Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48157673108 fall within Grayson Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48157673108 compare to Katy overall?
Tract 48157673108 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Katy at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Katy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Katy
Top eight tracts in Katy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.