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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Airline Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aldine

Tract 48201221602 · Harris, TX · pop 5,411 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 48201221602 sits in the Airline area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It is home to 5,411 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 40.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 11% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,644
Renter share20.5%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$63,893

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Airline
Very Low
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#372 of 952 tracts In Aldine
Elevated
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#410 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,731 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aldine and the region

Centroid at 29.8793, -95.4010 · click any tract to drill in

Why Airline scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aldine
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$859 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aldine
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aldine
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aldine
2.5

How Airline compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Airline risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 2216024.4Aldineparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 145Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.31×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Airline. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Airline

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. At $859 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Houston commands.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $63,893, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201221602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201221602?

Census tract 48201221602 in the Airline neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201221602?

Median gross rent is $859/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201221602?

19.7% of residents in tract 48201221602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,411.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201221602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 72th, minority 95th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 48201221602 considered part of Airline?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201221602 fall within Airline (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201221602 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201221602 compare to Aldine overall?

Tract 48201221602 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Aldine at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aldine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aldine

Top eight tracts in Aldine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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