Baytown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Adults with no health insurance runs 37.2% against 11.3% nationally. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. At $926 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Baytown commands.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 195 evictions over 7 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2010, when 10.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.