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Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Baytown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48201254400 · Harris, TX · pop 3,014

Here is how census tract 48201254400, in Baytown eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.2/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,014. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

22% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $926 a month while the average household earns $47,704 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 32% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,009
Renter share41.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate23.1%
Median income$47,704

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 23 tracts In Baytown
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#343 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#1,438 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baytown and the region

Centroid at 29.7265, -94.9772 · click any tract to drill in

Why Baytown scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baytown
2.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.1% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$926 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baytown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baytown
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baytown
6.9

How Baytown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Baytown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 254400Baytown: 2.82.8Baytownparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 195Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 7.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.4%Peak (2010)
  • 30Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 482012544002009: 19 filings (7.34/100 renter HHs)2010: 37 filings (10.42/100 renter HHs)2011: 25 filings (6.01/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (5.77/100 renter HHs)2013: 31 filings (7.45/100 renter HHs)2014: 29 filings (6.97/100 renter HHs)2015: 30 filings (7.21/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 58% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 239Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.27×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-01-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-11-01: 6 filings (3.43× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2024-02-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-12-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (2.46× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 25 filings (250.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 28 filings (280.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 19 filings (190.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Baytown

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baytown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.27x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201254400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201254400?

Census tract 48201254400 in Baytown scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201254400?

Median gross rent is $926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201254400?

23.1% of residents in tract 48201254400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,014.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201254400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 70th, minority 89th, housing 61th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201254400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 195 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201254400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.31% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201254400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201254400 compare to Baytown overall?

Tract 48201254400 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Baytown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baytown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baytown

Top eight tracts in Baytown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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