Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Airline Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aldine

Tract 48201221702 · Harris, TX · pop 3,003 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

48201221702 is a census tract in the Airline area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,003 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 52.8% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 14% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units898
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate33.4%
Median income$36,054

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Airline
Low
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#276 of 952 tracts In Aldine
Elevated
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aldine and the region

Centroid at 29.8878, -95.3825 · click any tract to drill in

Why Airline scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aldine
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.4% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,238 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aldine
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aldine
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aldine
2.5

How Airline compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Airline risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 2217024.4Aldineparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 36Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Airline. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Airline

Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $36,054 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 38% here against 49.5% across Harris County.

The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 49.0% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Average gross rent is $1,238, 9% below the Houston average.

That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201221702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201221702?

Census tract 48201221702 in the Airline neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201221702?

Median gross rent is $1,238/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201221702?

33.4% of residents in tract 48201221702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,003.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201221702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 33th, minority 94th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 48201221702 considered part of Airline?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201221702 fall within Airline (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201221702 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201221702 compare to Aldine overall?

Tract 48201221702 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Aldine at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aldine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aldine

Top eight tracts in Aldine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related