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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Fifth Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201211301 · Harris, TX · pop 2,590 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201211301 in the Fifth Ward area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,590. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 32% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units925
Renter share60.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate47.4%
Median income$40,991

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Fifth Ward
Elevated
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#274 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7764, -95.3335 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fifth Ward scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
47.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$936 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Fifth Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fifth Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 2113013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 489Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fifth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fifth Ward

The poverty rate is 47%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.7% against 11.3% nationally. At $936 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Houston commands.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.5% against 31.5% nationally.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201211301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201211301?

Census tract 48201211301 in the Fifth Ward neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201211301?

Median gross rent is $936/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201211301?

47.4% of residents in tract 48201211301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,590.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201211301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 94th, minority 99th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 48201211301 considered part of Fifth Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201211301 fall within Fifth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201211301 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201211301 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201211301 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201211301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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