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Neighborhood · Ranked #60,609 of 84,120 nationally

Old Sixth Ward Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201410102 · Harris, TX · pop 3,980 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 48201410102, home to 3,980 residents in Old Sixth Ward in Houston, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #27,954 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,728 a month against an average household income of $62,276 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 88% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 42% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units2,471
Renter share88.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate26.5%
Median income$62,276

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 4 tracts In Old Sixth Ward
Very High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileBottomTop
#175 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileBottomTop
#317 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileBottomTop
#1,456 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7592, -95.3791 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Sixth Ward scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.5% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,728 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Old Sixth Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Sixth Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 410102Houston: 2.72.7Houstonparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 2.62.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 667Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.53×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 15 filings (7.50× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-11-01: 10 filings (3.08× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-03-01: 8 filings (10.67× baseline)2022-04-01: 11 filings (8.80× baseline)2022-05-01: 17 filings (3.78× baseline)2022-06-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 15 filings (7.50× baseline)2022-08-01: 16 filings (3.76× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2022-11-01: 9 filings (2.77× baseline)2022-12-01: 8 filings (5.33× baseline)2023-01-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2023-02-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 6 filings (4.80× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2023-06-01: 9 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 11 filings (5.50× baseline)2023-08-01: 13 filings (3.06× baseline)2023-09-01: 13 filings (4.33× baseline)2023-10-01: 17 filings (5.67× baseline)2023-11-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2023-12-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 17 filings (8.50× baseline)2024-02-01: 10 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-03-01: 8 filings (10.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 17 filings (13.60× baseline)2024-05-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-06-01: 10 filings (6.67× baseline)2024-07-01: 19 filings (9.50× baseline)2024-08-01: 20 filings (4.71× baseline)2024-09-01: 14 filings (4.67× baseline)2024-10-01: 15 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2024-12-01: 12 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 16 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 19 filings (4.22× baseline)2025-03-01: 18 filings (24.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 15 filings (12.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 17 filings (3.78× baseline)2025-06-01: 16 filings (10.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 13 filings (6.50× baseline)2025-08-01: 18 filings (4.24× baseline)2025-09-01: 13 filings (4.33× baseline)2025-10-01: 11 filings (3.67× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2025-12-01: 14 filings (9.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 11 filings (110.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Sixth Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Sixth Ward

What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 3.53x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201410102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201410102?

Census tract 48201410102 in the Old Sixth Ward neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201410102?

Median gross rent is $1,728/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201410102?

26.5% of residents in tract 48201410102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,980.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201410102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 32th, minority 75th, housing 64th.

Q5

Is tract 48201410102 considered part of Old Sixth Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201410102 fall within Old Sixth Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201410102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

Q7

How does tract 48201410102 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201410102 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q8

Was tract 48201410102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 62% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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