Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Willow Run Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,657 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Willow Run is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Houston with 1 census tract and a population of 3,657 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 77% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 44% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $997/month sits 27% lower than the Houston citywide average ($1,361).

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Willow Run vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

77.1% +140%

Houston: 32.1%

Average gross rent

$997 -27%

Houston: $1,361

Average HH income

$57,750 -8%

Houston: $62,894

Poverty rate

23.1% +17%

Houston: 19.7%

Renter share

38.7% -33%

Houston: 57.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Willow Run scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

77% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

39% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Economic stress

23.1% below poverty line · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Risk score comparison

Willow Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Willow Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48201533302	5.4	3,657	77%	$997

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 97

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 96%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 90%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 86%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Willow Run

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

222Total filings 2020-21
2.9Avg monthly observed
3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.91×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Willow Run

What is the eviction-risk score for Willow Run?

Willow Run scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Willow Run compare to Houston overall?

Willow Run scores 2.6 points higher than Houston overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 77% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $997 vs $1,361.

What is the average rent in Willow Run?

Average gross rent in Willow Run is $997/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Willow Run residents are renters?

39% of Willow Run households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 3,657 residents.

Is Willow Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Willow Run sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Willow Run for landlords?

Willow Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Willow Run?

Willow Run has 3,949 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (57.2%), Hispanic / Latino (38.4%), Other / Multiracial (2.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willow Run

6.1 Highland Heights 5 tracts · pop 16,141 4.4 Parkway Ranch 2 tracts · pop 11,843 5.8 Airline 4 tracts · pop 18,029 5.9 Melrose Park 4 tracts · pop 21,330 6.2 Royal Crest 2 tracts · pop 7,172 4.3 Candlelight Place 3 tracts · pop 11,638

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willow Run.

5.4 Yaupon Grove 4 tracts · pop 15,950 5.4 Heather Glen 1 tracts · pop 4,774 5.4 Spring Branch East 5 tracts · pop 15,328 5.5 Braeburn 6 tracts · pop 19,951 5.5 Rustling Oaks 1 tracts · pop 2,328 5.5 Central Southwest Houston 3 tracts · pop 14,784

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