1 census tracts · pop 3,657 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10
· range 5.1–5.1
Willow Run is a one-tract neighborhood of Houston, TX, population 3,657. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, Moderate tier. 44% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Against a Houston baseline of 32.1%, about three-quarters of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.5/10.
Average gross rent is $997, 27% below the Houston average of $1,361. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.
Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, North Shadydale and Grand Vista Lakes score within a fraction of it.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $57,750.
39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Willow Run vs HoustonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Willow Run
Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
222Total filings 2020-21
2.9Avg monthly observed
3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.91×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).
Frequently asked
About Willow Run
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Willow Run?
Willow Run scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Willow Run compare to Houston overall?
Willow Run scores 1.4 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 77% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $997 vs $1,361.
Q3
What is the average rent in Willow Run?
Average gross rent in Willow Run is $997/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Willow Run residents are renters?
39% of Willow Run households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 3,657 residents.
Q5
Is Willow Run a high social-vulnerability area?
Willow Run sits in the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Willow Run for landlords?
Willow Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Willow Run?
Willow Run has 3,949 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (57.2%), Hispanic / Latino (38.4%), Other / Multiracial (2.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
