Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Tierra Prieta Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate , Donna
Tract 48215022204 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 6,315 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 48215022204 sits in the Tierra Prieta Colonia area of Donna, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 6,315. Against Hidalgo County at 42.3%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,580
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate34.9%
Median income$50,670
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Donna and the region
Centroid at 26.1258, -98.0337 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tierra Prieta Colonia scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Donna
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
34.9% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$904 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Donna
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Donna
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Donna
9.1
How Tierra Prieta Colonia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tierra Prieta Colonia
The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 46.4% against 11.3% nationally.
What pushes it up most is housing-court posture at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.7/10.
Disability prevalence runs 46.3% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 0.9 points above the Hidalgo County average of 3.9. Average gross rent is $904, 12% above the Donna average.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48215022204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215022204?
Census tract 48215022204 in the Tierra Prieta Colonia neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48215022204?
Median gross rent is $904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48215022204?
34.9% of residents in tract 48215022204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,315.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48215022204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 84th, minority 99th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 48215022204 considered part of Tierra Prieta Colonia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215022204 fall within Tierra Prieta Colonia (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48215022204 compare to Donna overall?
Tract 48215022204 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Donna at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Donna; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Donna
Top eight tracts in Donna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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