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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Progreso Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48215022802 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 3,934 · 20% of tract blocks fall in Progreso

Census tract 48215022802 covers part of Progreso, TX, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Hidalgo County at 42.3%, 71% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 5% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,065
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate34.1%
Median income$52,094

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Progreso
Very Low
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#59 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#1,972 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Progreso and the region

Centroid at 26.0851, -98.0546 · click any tract to drill in

Why Progreso scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Progreso
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
34.1% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$871 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Progreso
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Progreso
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Progreso
9.3

How Progreso compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Progreso risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0228023.8Progresoparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Progreso

Adults with no health insurance runs 38.4% against 11.3% nationally. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 0.6 points above the Hidalgo County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $871, close to the Progreso average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $52,094.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215022802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215022802?

Census tract 48215022802 in Progreso scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215022802?

Median gross rent is $871/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215022802?

34.1% of residents in tract 48215022802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,934.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215022802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 62th, minority 96th, housing 65th.
Q5

How does tract 48215022802 compare to Progreso overall?

Tract 48215022802 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Progreso at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Progreso; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Progreso

Top eight tracts in Progreso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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