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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Brennard Eviction Risk: Moderate , Big Spring

Tract 48227950500 · Howard, TX · pop 3,000 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.7/10, tract 48227950500 in the Brennard area of Big Spring, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,000 residents. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 35% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,075
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate22.1%
Median income$65,392

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Brennard
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In Big Spring
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Howard
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Big Spring and the region

Centroid at 32.2472, -101.4713 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brennard scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Big Spring
2.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.1% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$889 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Big Spring
5.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Big Spring
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Big Spring
6.4

How Brennard compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brennard risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 950500Big Spring: 3.83.8Big Springparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brennard. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brennard

Adults with no health insurance runs 27.8% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

On the softer side, regional political climate reads 2.1/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Howard County average of 30.9%. At $889 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Big Spring commands.

Against the Howard County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $65,392, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48227950500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48227950500?

Census tract 48227950500 in the Brennard neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48227950500?

Median gross rent is $889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48227950500?

22.1% of residents in tract 48227950500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,000.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48227950500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 98th, minority 77th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 48227950500 considered part of Brennard?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48227950500 fall within Brennard (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48227950500 compare to Big Spring overall?

Tract 48227950500 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Big Spring at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Big Spring; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Big Spring

Top eight tracts in Big Spring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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