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Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Commerce Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48231960600 · Hunt, TX · pop 4,182

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 48231960600 in Commerce, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,182. Cost burden runs 64% here against 37.8% across Hunt County.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 24% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,135
Renter share66.8%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate31.7%
Median income$40,603

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Commerce
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 21 tracts In Hunt
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Commerce and the region

Centroid at 33.2386, -95.9058 · click any tract to drill in

Why Commerce scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Commerce
3.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.7% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$929 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Commerce
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Commerce
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Commerce
7.9

How Commerce compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Commerce risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 9606004.2Commerceparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Commerce

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 1.6 points above the Hunt County average of 4.0. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $929, close to the Commerce average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $40,603.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48231960600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48231960600?

Census tract 48231960600 in Commerce scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48231960600?

Median gross rent is $929/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48231960600?

31.7% of residents in tract 48231960600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,182.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48231960600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 11th, minority 68th, housing 93th.
Q5

How does tract 48231960600 compare to Commerce overall?

Tract 48231960600 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Commerce at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Commerce; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Commerce

Top eight tracts in Commerce ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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