Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Fern Bluff Eviction Risk: Lower , Brushy Creek
Tract 48491020515 ·
Williamson, TX · pop 3,964 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 48491020515 covers part of the Fern Bluff area of Brushy Creek, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,964. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 15%Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,491
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$139,622
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Fern Bluff
Moderate
Within parent city
67th percentile
#2 of 4 tracts In Brushy Creek
Elevated
Within county
1th percentile
#134 of 135 tracts In Williamson
Very Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brushy Creek and the region
Centroid at 30.5071, -97.7266 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fern Bluff scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brushy Creek
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,107 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brushy Creek
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brushy Creek
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brushy Creek
3.7
How Fern Bluff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
30%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fern Bluff
roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Williamson County average of 43.5%. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10.
9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.8 points below the Williamson County average of 3.8. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,107, close to the Brushy Creek average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48491020515
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48491020515?
Census tract 48491020515 in the Fern Bluff neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48491020515?
Median gross rent is $2,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48491020515?
9.2% of residents in tract 48491020515 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,964.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48491020515?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 19th, minority 64th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 48491020515 considered part of Fern Bluff?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48491020515 fall within Fern Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48491020515 compare to Brushy Creek overall?
Tract 48491020515 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Brushy Creek at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brushy Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brushy Creek
Top eight tracts in Brushy Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.