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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

The Chateaus at Birch Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Smithfield

Tract 49005000202 · Cache, UT · pop 9,806 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

49005000202 is a census tract in the The Chateaus at Birch Creek area of Smithfield, UT. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 9,806. 16% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Cache County average of 37.0%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 16% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units3,003
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$92,035

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Chateaus at Birch Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Smithfield
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 28 tracts In Cache
Very Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#425 of 716 tracts In Utah
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Smithfield and the region

Centroid at 41.8429, -111.8033 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Chateaus at Birch Creek scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Smithfield
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,193 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smithfield
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smithfield
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smithfield
2.7

How The Chateaus at Birch Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Chateaus at Birch Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0002023.2Smithfieldparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 21Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 0.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak (2014)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 49005000202
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Chateaus at Birch Creek

The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 0.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Cache County average of 3.9. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 21 filings here across 9 tracked years.

Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,193, 9% below the Smithfield average. Filings peaked in 2014 at 2.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $92,035, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 49005000202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49005000202?

Census tract 49005000202 in the The Chateaus at Birch Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 49005000202?

Median gross rent is $1,193/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 49005000202?

1.8% of residents in tract 49005000202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,806.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 49005000202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 25th, minority 21th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 49005000202 considered part of The Chateaus at Birch Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49005000202 fall within The Chateaus at Birch Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49005000202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 49005000202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.92% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 49005000202 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 49005000202 compare to Smithfield overall?

Tract 49005000202 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Smithfield at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smithfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smithfield

Top eight tracts in Smithfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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