Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Ogden Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 49057200302 · Weber, UT · pop 3,999 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Ogden

49057200302 is a census tract in Ogden, UT. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,999. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.9/10.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 29% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,020

Renter share48.1%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate22.9%

Median income$62,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ogden and the region

Centroid at 41.2620, -111.9979 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ogden scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ogden

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.9

State political climate

Utah legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

22.9% poverty · this tract

5.7

Supply constraint

$1,240 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ogden

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ogden

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ogden

3.5

How Ogden compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

76%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
23%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.9%Housing insecurity
12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
28.1%Food insecurity
15.2%SNAP enrollment
12.7%Transit barriers
22.5%No health insurance
21.5%Frequent mental distress
40.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ogden

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.5% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Weber County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Food insecurity runs 28.1% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3.1/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the UT average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters.

Average gross rent is $1,240, close to the Ogden average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 49057200302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49057200302?

Census tract 49057200302 in Ogden scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 49057200302?

Median gross rent is $1,240/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 49057200302?

22.9% of residents in tract 49057200302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,999.

How socially vulnerable is tract 49057200302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 92th, minority 59th, housing 99th.

What share of households in tract 49057200302 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 49057200302 compare to Ogden overall?

Tract 49057200302 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Ogden at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ogden eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 49057200302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ogden

Top eight tracts in Ogden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.