Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Ogden Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 49057200302 · Weber, UT · pop 3,999 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Ogden

Census tract 49057200302 covers Ogden, home to 3,999 residents. For landlords it grades 4.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 30% of US census tracts.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,240 a month while the average household earns $62,273 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 29% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,020

Renter share48.1%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate22.9%

Median income$62,273

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ogden and the region

Centroid at 41.2620, -111.9979 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ogden scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ogden

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.9

State political climate

Utah legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

22.9% poverty · this tract

5.7

Supply constraint

$1,240 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ogden

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ogden

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ogden

3.5

How Ogden compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

76%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
23%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.9%Housing insecurity
12.2%Utility-shutoff threat
28.1%Food insecurity
15.2%SNAP enrollment
12.7%Transit barriers
22.5%No health insurance
21.5%Frequent mental distress
40.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ogden

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ogden eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Weber County average of 4.4 and above the Utah statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Part of this tract, about 2% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 49057200302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49057200302?

Census tract 49057200302 in Ogden scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 49057200302?

Median gross rent is $1,240/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 49057200302?

22.9% of residents in tract 49057200302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,999.

How socially vulnerable is tract 49057200302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 92th, minority 59th, housing 99th.

What share of households in tract 49057200302 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 49057200302 compare to Ogden overall?

Tract 49057200302 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Ogden at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ogden eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 49057200302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ogden

Top eight tracts in Ogden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.