Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Sequoyah Eviction Risk: Lower , Woodlawn
Tract 51059421702 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,361 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
51059421702 is a census tract in the Sequoyah area of Woodlawn, VA. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,361 residents. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,319
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$125,950
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woodlawn and the region
Centroid at 38.7390, -77.1153 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sequoyah scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woodlawn
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,717 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woodlawn
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woodlawn
2.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woodlawn
2.2
How Sequoyah compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 38Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2013)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sequoyah. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.7%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sequoyah
At $2,717 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of Woodlawn commands. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
Running cool, housing-court posture reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. The voucher gap is 17.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 38 filings here across 4 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 11.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059421702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421702?
Census tract 51059421702 in the Sequoyah neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059421702?
Median gross rent is $2,717/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421702?
0.9% of residents in tract 51059421702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,361.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 47th, minority 84th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 51059421702 considered part of Sequoyah?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059421702 fall within Sequoyah (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059421702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.42% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059421702 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059421702 compare to Woodlawn overall?
Tract 51059421702 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Woodlawn at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woodlawn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woodlawn
Top eight tracts in Woodlawn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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