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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Three Fountains North Eviction Risk: Lower , Chamberlayne

Tract 51087200802 · Henrico County, VA · pop 1,710 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the Three Fountains North area of Chamberlayne, census tract 51087200802 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It lands near the 33rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 19% of renter households, a modest level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,743 monthly, set against $78,400 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 18% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units874
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$78,400

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Three Fountains North
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Chamberlayne
Very High
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#1,257 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chamberlayne and the region

Centroid at 37.6188, -77.4498 · click any tract to drill in

Why Three Fountains North scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chamberlayne
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,743 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chamberlayne
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chamberlayne
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chamberlayne
2.4

How Three Fountains North compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Three Fountains North risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 200802Chamberlayne: 3.63.6Chamberlayneparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 31Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 9.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak (2016)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Three Fountains North

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chamberlayne, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200802?

Census tract 51087200802 in the Three Fountains North neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200802?

Median gross rent is $1,743/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200802?

6.2% of residents in tract 51087200802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,710.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 54th, minority 54th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 51087200802 considered part of Three Fountains North?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200802 fall within Three Fountains North (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 31 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.41% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51087200802 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51087200802 compare to Chamberlayne overall?

Tract 51087200802 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Chamberlayne at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chamberlayne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chamberlayne

Top eight tracts in Chamberlayne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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