Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Three Fountains North Eviction Risk: Lower , Chamberlayne
Tract 51087200802 · Henrico County, VA · pop 1,710 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 51087200802 covers part of the Three Fountains North area of Chamberlayne, VA, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,710. Cost burden runs 19% here against 47.8% across Henrico County.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units874
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$78,400
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chamberlayne and the region
Centroid at 37.6188, -77.4498 · click any tract to drill in
Why Three Fountains North scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chamberlayne
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,743 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chamberlayne
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chamberlayne
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chamberlayne
2.4
How Three Fountains North compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 31Total filings over 2 yrs
- 9.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.7%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Three Fountains North
At $1,743 a month, rents run 44% over what the rest of Chamberlayne commands. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
It sits 1.1 points below the Henrico County average of 4.3. The filing record is not thin: 31 evictions over 2 years of observation.
Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Filings peaked in 2016 at 11.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200802?
Census tract 51087200802 in the Three Fountains North neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200802?
Median gross rent is $1,743/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200802?
6.2% of residents in tract 51087200802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,710.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 54th, minority 54th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200802 considered part of Three Fountains North?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200802 fall within Three Fountains North (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 31 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.41% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200802 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200802 compare to Chamberlayne overall?
Tract 51087200802 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Chamberlayne at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chamberlayne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chamberlayne
Top eight tracts in Chamberlayne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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