Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Oak Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Highland Park
Tract 51087201003 · Henrico County, VA · pop 6,674 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51087201003 sits in the Oak Hill area of East Highland Park, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Cost burden runs 75% here against 47.8% across Henrico County.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,799
Renter share29.9%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$73,633
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Highland Park and the region
Centroid at 37.5604, -77.3931 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oak Hill scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Highland Park
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,197 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Highland Park
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Highland Park
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Highland Park
7.4
How Oak Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 421Total filings over 2 yrs
- 34.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.2%Peak (2016)
- 217Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.0%Housing insecurity
- 14.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.4%Food insecurity
- 23.4%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 37.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oak Hill
36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.6/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 421 filings here across 2 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 23.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Average gross rent is $1,197, 9% below the East Highland Park average.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 33.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 34.4% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201003?
Census tract 51087201003 in the Oak Hill neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201003?
Median gross rent is $1,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201003?
17.8% of residents in tract 51087201003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,674.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 43th, minority 96th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201003 considered part of Oak Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201003 fall within Oak Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087201003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 421 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087201003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.42% of renter households, peaking at 33.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087201003 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087201003 compare to East Highland Park overall?
Tract 51087201003 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of East Highland Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Highland Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51087201003 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Highland Park
Top eight tracts in East Highland Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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