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Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

Belmont Greene Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51107611004 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 8,318 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 51107611004 sits in the Belmont Greene area of Belmont, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,782 a month against an average household income of $207,985 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 13% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units3,012
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$207,985

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Belmont Greene
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Belmont
Moderate
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#75 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#2,104 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Belmont and the region

Centroid at 39.0564, -77.5231 · click any tract to drill in

Why Belmont Greene scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Belmont
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,782 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Belmont
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Belmont
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Belmont
3.0

How Belmont Greene compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Belmont Greene risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.01.0This tracttract 611004Belmont: 3.33.3Belmontparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 8.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.1%Peak (2016)
  • 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Belmont Greene

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Belmont, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 30 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 8.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.1% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611004?

Census tract 51107611004 in the Belmont Greene neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611004?

Median gross rent is $2,782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611004?

3.4% of residents in tract 51107611004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,318.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 27th, minority 58th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611004 considered part of Belmont Greene?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611004 fall within Belmont Greene (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611004?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.11% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107611004 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107611004 compare to Belmont overall?

Tract 51107611004 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Belmont at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Belmont; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Belmont

Top eight tracts in Belmont ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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