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Census Tract · Ranked #28,252 of 84,120 nationally

Lovettsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51107610102 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 3,455 · 23% of tract blocks fall in Lovettsville

Census tract 51107610102 is in Lovettsville, Virginia. It has a population of 3,455 and an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). 61% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 29% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,169/month against a median household income of $181,250 — roughly 14% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 4% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,190
Renter share11.3%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$181,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Lovettsville
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank — 81th percentileBottomTop
#15 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
High
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank — 71th percentileBottomTop
#642 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
National
66 th percentile
Rank — 66th percentileBottomTop
#28,252 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lovettsville and the region

Centroid at 39.2611, -77.6087 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lovettsville scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lovettsville
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,169 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lovettsville
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lovettsville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lovettsville
5.1

How Lovettsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lovettsville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 610102Lovettsville: 5.45.4Lovettsvilleparent cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.2%Peak (2016)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107610102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610102?

Census tract 51107610102 in Lovettsville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107610102?

Median gross rent is $2,169/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610102?

3.1% of residents in tract 51107610102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,455.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 24th, minority 29th, housing 6th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.23% of renter households, peaking at 1.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

What share of households in tract 51107610102 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q7

How does tract 51107610102 compare to Lovettsville overall?

Tract 51107610102 scores 5.7/10 — higher than the parent city of Lovettsville at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lovettsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lovettsville

Top eight tracts in Lovettsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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