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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Summerfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Brambleton

Tract 51107611026 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 13,860 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 51107611026 in the Summerfield area of Brambleton, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 13,860 residents. Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 4% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units4,580
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Summerfield
Very High
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Brambleton
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#59 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brambleton and the region

Centroid at 38.9743, -77.5389 · click any tract to drill in

Why Summerfield scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brambleton
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,650 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brambleton
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brambleton
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brambleton
4.7

How Summerfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Summerfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 611026Brambleton: 4.04.0Brambletonparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Summerfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Summerfield

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Disability prevalence runs 16.4% against 31.5% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.7% against 15.2% nationally.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. The voucher gap is 14.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10.

That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10.

Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Loudoun County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $2,650, close to the Brambleton average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611026

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611026?

Census tract 51107611026 in the Summerfield neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611026?

Median gross rent is $2,650/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611026?

2.1% of residents in tract 51107611026 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 13,860.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611026?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 21th, minority 76th, housing 23th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611026 considered part of Summerfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611026 fall within Summerfield (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51107611026 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51107611026 compare to Brambleton overall?

Tract 51107611026 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Brambleton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brambleton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brambleton

Top eight tracts in Brambleton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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