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Eviction risk map of Nelson County, Virginia showing a 3.3/10 (Low) county average with community scores ranging from 3.1 to 4.1/10
County brief·Updated July 28, 2026

Nelson County, Virginia Eviction Risk: Low

6 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Nellysford (4.1) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.

In 2026
Risk score
3.3
LOW

Ranked #98 of 132 VA counties

4k residents · 6 cities · 5 tracts

1976–2026 · pop-weighted from cities

Nelson County eviction risk score history

Min1.6 Average2.3 Now3.3
10 5 1976 · score 1.7 1977 · score 1.7 1978 · score 1.7 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.6 1988 · score 1.6 1989 · score 1.6 1990 · score 1.7 1991 · score 1.8 1992 · score 1.8 1993 · score 1.8 1994 · score 1.8 1995 · score 1.8 1996 · score 1.8 1997 · score 1.8 1998 · score 1.8 1999 · score 1.8 2000 · score 1.8 2001 · score 1.9 2002 · score 2.0 2003 · score 2.0 2004 · score 2.0 2005 · score 2.0 2006 · score 2.0 2007 · score 2.0 2008 · score 2.6 2009 · score 2.7 2010 · score 2.8 2011 · score 2.8 2012 · score 2.7 2013 · score 2.6 2014 · score 2.7 2015 · score 2.6 2016 · score 2.7 2017 · score 2.7 2018 · score 2.7 2019 · score 2.7 2020 · score 4.4 2021 · score 4.6 2022 · score 3.7 2023 · score 3.4 2024 · score 3.3 2025 · score 3.3 2026 · score 3.3

Key metrics

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2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nelson County's 3.3/10 score (Low) reflects a county where low renter density and rural demographics keep composite risk below the Virginia average, though a 42.6% rent burden and 22.9% poverty rate represent real economic vulnerability for the county's renters. Scores across Nelson's communities range from 3.1 to 4.1/10. Ranked 98th of 132 Virginia counties -- 97 counties carry higher eviction risk, 34 score lower.

How Nelson County ranks in Virginia

Lower number means more extreme, where #1 is the most
Eviction Risk Score
Low
#98 of 132 VA counties 3.3 / 10
Eviction Risk Score, 26th percentileLowHigh
#98 of 132 counties in Virginia for landlord eviction risk.
Cost of living
Elevated
#16 of 51 states (statewide) 101.1 index
Cost of living, 70th percentileLowHigh
Virginia ranks #16 of 51 states on overall cost of living (1.1% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Housing services cost
Elevated
#17 of 51 states (statewide) 106.8 index
Housing services cost, 68th percentileLowHigh
Virginia ranks #17 of 51 states on housing services (6.8% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Income spent on rent
Very High
#11 of 132 VA counties 37.8% of income
Income spent on rent, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 132 counties in Virginia on % of income spent on rent.

Landlord guides for Virginia

State-specific playbooks
Virginia Eviction Costs →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Virginia Eviction Process →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Virginia Rent Control →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Virginia Tenant Screening →
Five-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Virginia Tenant Protections →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry
Cities in Nelson County
Sorted by Eviction Risk Score · highest first
Map view
CityPopulationRisk% income on rentAverage rentLean
001 Nellysford Pop 1,584 · 51.0% income · $1,545 rent · Rep 1,584 3.2 51.0% $1,545 Rep
002 Arrington Pop 915 · 49.6% income · $1,461 rent · Rep 915 3.4 49.6% $1,461 Rep
003 Wintergreen Pop 589 · 41.9% income · $975 rent · Rep 589 3.1 41.9% $975 Rep
004 Shipman Pop 472 · 6.1% income · $1,068 rent · Rep 472 3.1 6.1% $1,068 Rep
005 Lovingston Pop 455 · 40.2% income · $232 rent · Rep 455 3.2 40.2% $232 Rep
006 Schuyler Pop 197 · 38.0% income · $788 rent · Rep 197 4.1 38.0% $788 Rep

County heatmap

Geographic distribution
Local landlord context

One county, multiple regulatory regimes.

Nelson County, Virginia earns a 3.3/10 eviction risk score (Low), placing it 98th out of 132 Virginia eviction laws counties on the Eviction Risk Map scale. That standing puts Nelson firmly in the lower-risk tier statewide -- 97 counties carry higher risk, while only 34 score lower. For a rural Piedmont county of roughly 4,212 renters and owner-occupants combined, that composite reflects conditions that are meaningfully more manageable than much of the state, though individual communities within the county diverge in notable ways.

Scores across Nelson's six tracked communities span 3.1 to 4.1/10, a spread driven almost entirely by Schuyler at the top and by Wintergreen and Shipman at the bottom. Schuyler, the county's highest-risk community, scores 4.1/10 -- noticeably above the county average -- a pattern consistent with smaller, lower-income pockets where poverty is concentrated and renter protections under Virginia's statewide framework offer limited cushion. At the other end, Wintergreen scores 3.1/10 and Shipman scores 3.1/10, each benefiting from demographics typical of resort-adjacent and low-density rural communities. The county seat area of Lovingston registers 3.2/10, while the largest community by population, Nellysford (1,584 residents), comes in at 3.2/10. Arrington, the second-most-populous community at 915 residents, scores 3.4/10 -- a touch above the county average, reflecting modestly elevated rent burden and poverty levels for that corridor.

The economic backdrop in Nelson matters here. Average rent runs $1,216 per month, and the average rent burden sits at 42.6% of household income -- well above the standard 30% affordability threshold and a signal that renters in this county are financially stretched even before any eviction proceeding enters the picture. Poverty affects 22.9% of the population, and only 23.8% of households are renters, meaning the rental market is small and tight. Under Virginia law (Va. Code § 55.1-1200 et seq.), Nelson County landlords must give just 5 days notice for nonpayment of rent before filing, and Virginia preempts local governments from enacting rent control ordinances, so no city or county in the state can cap rent increases. There is no just-cause eviction requirement, and source-of-income discrimination is not prohibited under state statute. Court filing fees run $58 to $90, and an uncontested eviction typically moves through the system in 21 to 45 days -- a fast timeline that leaves little room for a renter to resolve a dispute before receiving a judgment.

Nelson County's Low composite score of 3.3/10 reflects a rural county where low renter density and relatively stable (if modest) household incomes keep overall risk below the Virginia eviction laws average of 3.8/10, though the 42.6% rent burden and 22.9% poverty rate are genuine pressure points that can escalate individual cases quickly under Virginia eviction laws's expedited court timeline.

Eviction filings in Virginia

Eviction Lab Tracking System · statewide · live through 2026-05-01

The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Virginia statewide (no county-level tracker available for Nelson County). In the past month, 10,534 statewide filings were recorded, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline).

Virginia statewide, last 36 months 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Virginia statewide eviction filings (Eviction Lab)2023-05-01: 11,279 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 11,871 filings (1.01× hist)2023-07-01: 11,681 filings (1.01× hist)2023-08-01: 11,916 filings (1.00× hist)2023-09-01: 11,466 filings (1.00× hist)2023-10-01: 12,415 filings (1.00× hist)2023-11-01: 10,388 filings (0.96× hist)2023-12-01: 11,234 filings (1.04× hist)2024-01-01: 12,658 filings (1.00× hist)2024-02-01: 12,400 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 10,487 filings (0.95× hist)2024-04-01: 10,082 filings (1.02× hist)2024-05-01: 11,419 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 11,744 filings (1.00× hist)2024-07-01: 11,546 filings (0.99× hist)2024-08-01: 11,845 filings (1.00× hist)2024-09-01: 11,560 filings (1.00× hist)2024-10-01: 12,537 filings (1.01× hist)2024-11-01: 11,255 filings (1.04× hist)2024-12-01: 10,429 filings (0.96× hist)2025-01-01: 14,590 filings (1.15× hist)2025-02-01: 10,161 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 11,563 filings (1.04× hist)2025-04-01: 10,358 filings (1.05× hist)2025-05-01: 11,904 filings (1.05× hist)2025-06-01: 10,882 filings (0.92× hist)2025-07-01: 13,152 filings (1.13× hist)2025-08-01: 11,685 filings (0.98× hist)2025-09-01: 11,970 filings (1.04× hist)2025-10-01: 12,965 filings (1.04× hist)2025-11-01: 10,193 filings (0.94× hist)2025-12-01: 10,630 filings (0.98× hist)2026-01-01: 12,943 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 11,303 filings (1.01× hist)2026-03-01: 11,712 filings (1.06× hist)2026-04-01: 10,534 filings (1.07× hist)
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $36.
1

Eviction filings in Nelson County

In September 2025, 3 eviction filings were recorded in Nelson County, 75.0% of the historical average (below average).2

Last 24 months of filings 2023-07 – 2025-09
Monthly eviction filings in Nelson County (LSC CCDI)2023-07: 4 filings (50.0% of avg)2023-08: 3 filings (45.0% of avg)2023-10: 6 filings (160.0% of avg)2023-11: 6 filings (133.3% of avg)2023-12: 1 filings (26.7% of avg)2024-01: 5 filings (181.8% of avg)2024-02: 2 filings (50.0% of avg)2024-03: 2 filings (54.5% of avg)2024-04: 5 filings (105.3% of avg)2024-06: 7 filings (127.3% of avg)2024-07: 4 filings (50.0% of avg)2024-08: 2 filings (30.0% of avg)2024-09: 2 filings (50.0% of avg)2024-10: 4 filings (106.7% of avg)2024-11: 2 filings (44.4% of avg)2024-12: 2 filings (53.3% of avg)2025-01: 4 filings (145.5% of avg)2025-02: 1 filings (25.0% of avg)2025-03: 3 filings (81.7% of avg)2025-04: 4 filings (84.2% of avg)2025-05: 2 filings (66.7% of avg)2025-06: 3 filings (54.6% of avg)2025-07: 1 filings (12.5% of avg)2025-09: 3 filings (75.0% of avg)

Historical eviction filings in Nelson County

From 2010 to 2016, eviction filings in Nelson County declined 21%. The peak was 68 filings in 2011.3

Annual filings 2010–2016 No filing data published after 2018
Annual eviction filings in Nelson County 2000-2018 (Eviction Lab)2010: 53 filings2011: 68 filings2012: 37 filings2013: 54 filings2014: 42 filings2015: 49 filings2016: 42 filings

Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.

How Nelson County compares

At 3.3/10, Nelson County sits below the Virginia statewide average of 3.8/10, consistent with its position in the lower-risk tier of the state's 132 counties. Peer rural counties -- including Rockbridge, Lunenburg, Patrick, King William, and Westmoreland -- score in a similar range, each reflecting the same combination of low renter density, limited tenant-advocacy infrastructure, and Virginia eviction laws's statewide prohibition on local rent control. Nelson's 42.6% rent burden is higher than several of these peers, which tempers what would otherwise be a cleaner low-risk reading; the underlying financial stress on renters is real even if the formal legal environment is no harsher than the state baseline.

Peer counties in Virginia

Same state, closest by population and Eviction Risk Score
Peer county
Rockbridge County eviction risk
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 3.8K
Peer county
Westmoreland County eviction risk
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 4.3K
Peer county
King William County eviction risk
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 5.4K
Peer county
Patrick County eviction risk
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 4.3K

Where eviction risk concentrates in Nelson County

Top cities + top neighborhoods · click any card for the full breakdown

Top cities by population

Frequently asked

Frequently asked questions about Nelson County

Q1

What is the eviction risk range in Nelson County?

Scores range from 3.1 to 4.1 across 6 cities in Nelson County. The 3.3 average masks meaningful intra-county variance.
Q2

What is the renter share in Nelson County?

23.8% of households in Nelson County are renter-occupied per ACS 2023 5-year estimates.
Q3

What is the average rent in Nelson County?

Average gross rent across Nelson County averages $1,216/month.