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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Saratoga Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Suffolk

Tract 51800065402 · Suffolk city, VA · pop 1,513 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51800065402 belongs to the Saratoga Place area of Suffolk, Virginia. It is home to 1,513 residents and scores $1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $1,353 a month. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 37% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units551
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate31.2%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Saratoga Place
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 36 tracts In Suffolk
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 36 tracts In Suffolk city
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#181 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Suffolk and the region

Centroid at 36.7207, -76.5954 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saratoga Place scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Suffolk
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
31.2% poverty · this tract
7.8
Supply constraint
$1,353 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Suffolk
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Suffolk
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Suffolk
3.5

How Saratoga Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saratoga Place risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 065402Suffolk: 3.83.8Suffolkparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saratoga Place

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk City County average of 4.3 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51800065402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51800065402?

Census tract 51800065402 in the Saratoga Place neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51800065402?

Median gross rent is $1,353/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51800065402?

31.2% of residents in tract 51800065402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,513.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51800065402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 83th, minority 96th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 51800065402 considered part of Saratoga Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51800065402 fall within Saratoga Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51800065402 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51800065402 compare to Suffolk overall?

Tract 51800065402 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Suffolk at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Suffolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Suffolk

Top eight tracts in Suffolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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